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Improving M1 Finance’s Moderately Conservative Portfolio Pie

Last Updated: March 22, 2022 1 Comment – 2 min. read

M1 Finance provides Expert Pies that are pre-built portfolios available for you to invest in if you prefer not to choose your own investments. They are comprised of low-cost Vanguard ETF's. This is ideal for the investor who wants a lazy portfolio to be completely hands-off. M1's category of “General Investing” Expert Pies allow you to select a portfolio based on your personal risk tolerance.

Disclosure:  Some of the links on this page are referral links. At no additional cost to you, if you choose to make a purchase or sign up for a service after clicking through those links, I may receive a small commission. This allows me to continue producing high-quality, ad-free content on this site and pays for the occasional cup of coffee. I have first-hand experience with every product or service I recommend, and I recommend them because I genuinely believe they are useful, not because of the commission I get if you decide to purchase through my links. Read more here.

M1 maintains that these portfolios are mean-variance optimized (think Modern Portfolio Theory and Harry Markowitz). This is unnecessary in my opinion, and makes them complicated and uneven. For this so-called Moderately Conservative pie specifically, it gives it some strange choices across multiple types of bonds at seemingly haphazard allocations. I believe this pie is suboptimal for these reasons:

  1. It uses corporate bonds, total bond market funds, and municipal bonds. Treasury bonds are superior.
  2. It gives a huge weight to short-term treasuries, which are a cash equivalent.
  3. It invests in small-cap growth stocks via blend funds, which haven't paid a risk premium historically.
  4. It gives 2% to a total international bond fund which isn't really doing anything.
  5. Bond duration for this portfolio is still skewed too short/low in my opinion for their allocation and for someone who likely has a long time horizon.
  6. The allocation to Emerging Markets pales in comparison to that of Developed Markets, but the former offers more of a diversification benefit by having a lower correlation to the U.S. market. Emerging Markets have also paid a significant risk premium historically.
  7. It weirdly ditches the REITs that are included in some of the other pies.
  8. It also strangely gets rid of the mid-caps that are present in the other pies.

At the time of writing, M1's Moderately Conservative Portfolio pie looks like this:

  • 11% VCIT – Intermediate-Term Corporate Bonds
  • 37% SHY – Short Treasury Bonds
  • 6% MUB – Municipal Bonds
  • 12% VOO – S&P 500
  • 14% VEA – Developed Markets
  • 10% VB – Small-Cap Blend
  • 5% BND – Total US Bond Market
  • 2% BNDX – Total International Bond Market
  • 3% VWO – Emerging Markets

In improving this portfolio, we're basically just going to fix the things I mentioned above and simplify as follows:

  1. Avoid small- and mid-cap growth stocks and use their Value counterparts instead.
  2. Treasury bonds instead of corporate bonds, total bond market, and municipal bonds.
  3. Increase bond duration.
  4. Use a 1:1 ratio of Developed to Emerging Markets.
  5. Include a dash of REITs.
  6. Bring back mid-caps.

My resulting improved Moderately Conservative Portfolio pie ends up being 60/40 and looks like this:

  • 15% VOO
  • 15% VEA
  • 15% VWO
  • 5% IVOV
  • 5% VIOV
  • 5% VNQ
  • 20% VGLT
  • 20% VGIT

You can add this pie to your portfolio using this link.

Here are my improvements of the other variations of M1's General Investing Expert Pies.

What do you think of my attempt to improve M1's Moderately Conservative Portfolio pie? Let me know in the comments.


Disclosure: I am long VOO and VWO in my own portfolio.

Interested in more Lazy Portfolios? See the full list here.

Disclaimer:  While I love diving into investing-related data and playing around with backtests, this is not financial advice, investing advice, or tax advice. The information on this website is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only. Investment products discussed (ETFs, mutual funds, etc.) are for illustrative purposes only. It is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or otherwise transact in any of the products mentioned. I always attempt to ensure the accuracy of information presented but that accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Do your own due diligence. All investing involves risk, including the risk of losing the money you invest. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Opinions are my own and do not represent those of other parties mentioned. Read my lengthier disclaimer here.

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About John Williamson, APMA®

Analytical data nerd, investing enthusiast, fintech consultant, Boglehead, and Oxford comma advocate. I'm not a big fan of social media, but you can find me on LinkedIn and Reddit.

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Greg Myers says

    April 9, 2023 at 8:28 pm

    John,
    Thanks for your insights on this 60/40.. As I”m about to enter retirement I wonder if you could explain how you would take this to a 50-50 portfolio? I’m thinking pump up the REITS 5% and take it out of VEA.
    Greg

    Reply

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